Toncoin’s price has struggled to gain upward momentum in recent weeks, repeatedly failing to breach the critical resistance at $5.37 throughout the month.
This persistent inability to surpass this barrier has created bearish pressure on the cryptocurrency, leading to a loss of traction among investors. As a result, Toncoin’s recent price action has been characterized by stagnation, raising concerns about its future direction.
Toncoin Enthusiasts Back Off
The adoption rate of Toncoin has dropped to a 10-month low of 18%, indicating a sharp decline in new investors joining the network. TON’s Adoption rate, measured by the formation of new addresses on the network, is a critical metric to gauge the health and growth of a blockchain project. A low adoption rate suggests that Toncoin is struggling to attract new users, which could affect its overall market performance.
This decline in adoption signals waning interest in the project, with fewer new investors entering the market. The drop in new addresses also reflects the broader bearish sentiment surrounding Toncoin, as fewer participants are engaging with the cryptocurrency. If this trend continues, it may put additional downward pressure on Toncoin’s price and market activity.
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Toncoin Adoption Rate. Source: IntoTheBlock
Toncoin’s macro momentum is also facing challenges, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) showing signs of a downtrend. The RSI, a key technical indicator, is currently failing to secure its position above the neutral line, signaling increasing bearish momentum. If Toncoin cannot break out of this macro downtrend, the bearish pressure could continue to build, negatively impacting its price.
Additionally, the overall market conditions for Toncoin are weak, as broader cryptocurrency market sentiment remains fragile. The combination of low adoption and a declining RSI suggests that Toncoin is likely to remain in a bearish state unless significant buying pressure emerges to counter the downward trend.
Toncoin RSI. Source: TradingView
TON Price Prediction: Keeping at a Low
Toncoin’s price has been stuck below the $5.37 resistance since the beginning of the month. A breach of this level is crucial for Toncoin to gain momentum and push toward $6.00. However, given the current market conditions, this breakthrough seems unlikely in the short term.
Despite the bearish sentiment, Toncoin’s price is holding above the $4.86 support level. This suggests that while upward momentum is lacking, Toncoin is likely to remain consolidated within this range, staying above $4.86 but below $5.37.
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Toncoin Price Analysis. Source: TradingView
If Toncoin can eventually breach the $5.37 resistance and find enough bullish momentum, the price could rally beyond $6.00. This would invalidate the current bearish-neutral outlook, signaling a potential shift in market sentiment.
